Live · v2.1-ensemble
The model’s call.
Per-AC ensemble across four models. Counting in progress — actuals roll in below as ECI declares.
DMK SPA
179
seats / 234
90% CI: 144 – 172
NDA
55
seats / 234
90% CI: 62 – 90
TVK
0
seats / 234
Majority line
118
of 234 seats
P(DMK SPA majority)
99.9%
P(NDA majority)
0.1%
The headline is the per-AC majority across all four models. To see the call seat-by-seat, the freeze list, the Monte Carlo distribution, or how it lines up with what’s being declared:
Active model run: v2.1-ensemble · Headline = per-AC majority of v1.6 / v2-stage1 / v2-stage2 / v2-bayesian